2021 Panini Football Origins

Break Analyzer Report

4649Total cards
2679Hits
4266Numbered
12851-of-1s
36Teams

Your break

2021 Panini Football Origins

Highlights

The standout pulls, ranked.

Most total cards

Teams projected to receive the most cards
  1. 1New York Jets262
  2. 2Pittsburgh Steelers232
  3. 3Minnesota Vikings223

Most numbered

Most serial-numbered cards
  1. 1New York Jets242
  2. 2Pittsburgh Steelers217
  3. 3Minnesota Vikings204

Most 1/1s

Most one-of-one cards
  1. 1New York Jets74
  2. 2Pittsburgh Steelers64
  3. 3San Francisco 49ers62

Most autos

Most autograph cards
  1. 1New York Jets93
  2. 2Minnesota Vikings75
  3. 3Jacksonville Jaguars74

Most hits

Autos + relics + 1/1s combined
  1. 1New York Jets190
  2. 2Jacksonville Jaguars142
  3. 3Pittsburgh Steelers141

Fewest total cards

Teams least likely to appear
  1. 1San Diego Chargers1
  2. 2Los Angeles Raiders3
  3. 3St. Louis Rams3

Best hit density

Most hits per 100 cards
  1. 1Los Angeles Raiders100/100
  2. 2St. Louis Rams100/100
  3. 3Oakland Raiders73.3/100

Hidden value

Hit share beats card share by 2+ points

No hidden-value teams in this break — hit share tracks card share closely across the board.

Top players in this break

Most hits across every team
  1. 1Davis Mills — Houston Texans57
  2. 2DeVonta Smith — Philadelphia Eagles57
  3. 3Elijah Moore — New York Jets57

All teams

Hover any column header for what it means. Click a row for player detail.
Team
Count info
#d info
Hits info
Autos info
Relics info
RCs info
1/1s info
Card % info
Hit % info
/1 info
/2 info
/3 info
/5 info
/8 info
/10 info
/12 info
/15 info
/17 info
/25 info
/35 info
/49 info
/75 info
/79 info
/99 info
/175 info
/199 info
/299 info
New York Jets26224219093107184745.6%7.1%7427266231311250159616666
Pittsburgh Steelers2322171416071120645%5.3%642526323028260106620646
Minnesota Vikings2232041357557131594.8%5%591724321021022095718727
San Francisco 49ers2212021406371139624.8%5.2%621723421129200106614646
Jacksonville Jaguars2041901427477130564.4%5.3%562525421127200106415444
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1871701165260108524%4.3%52161731501918185613636
Philadelphia Eagles1731571045449100463.7%3.9%46151831812715164513525
Baltimore Ravens172157108594999463.7%4%46151831501818184512525
New England Patriots1641511106349100453.5%4.1%45151641612814165510525
Los Angeles Rams164150101524997443.5%3.8%44151631401817094511525
Cincinnati Bengals15814586353676443.4%3.2%44151521401717164511525
Carolina Panthers15214095474391413.3%3.5%41051441301915074510525
Los Angeles Chargers15114077253069423.2%2.9%42051611601615143513525
Denver Broncos14713580303675423.2%3%42151321201715073510525
Houston Texans147136102604997393.2%3.8%39151431201816010449424
Chicago Bears14613584353676423.1%3.1%42151421511613143510525
Miami Dolphins13311977333661372.9%2.9%3714122110161315349424
Dallas Cowboys1311175424831332.8%2%33151411300613022512505
Seattle Seahawks13012074293054362.8%2.8%3604122120161408348424
Arizona Cardinals12911674303660362.8%2.8%3614112100161308347424
Cleveland Browns1251155222832332.7%1.9%33051311300613031512505
New York Giants11911173303660352.6%2.7%351410290161206348424
Kansas City Chiefs1181034820832312.5%1.8%3105111110061004158505
Washington Football Team11711165203054342.5%2.4%34041111101512053410424
Tennessee Titans1091004821731302.3%1.8%30051011000610021510505
New Orleans Saints1079864223054312.3%2.4%3104919015904348424
Atlanta Falcons1069768303661302.3%2.5%30139280151106337323
Detroit Lions1029553201943292.2%2%290410110005904248414
Buffalo Bills9384328015262%1.2%26051009004912046404
Indianapolis Colts8176285015241.7%1%2404808004800048404
Green Bay Packers7869298015231.7%1.1%2305707014500045404
Las Vegas Raiders535019300171.1%0.7%1703505003400034303
Oakland Raiders151511100030.3%0.4%300303000301002000
Los Angeles Raiders33330010.1%0.1%100101000000000000
St. Louis Rams33330010.1%0.1%100101000000000000
San Diego Chargers10000000%0%000000000000000000
28 more below
Card % and Hit % describe the checklist, not the odds. They show each team's share of what's printed in these sets — exact from the checklist. They are not the probability of pulling a card, which would require print runs Panini doesn't publish.

By division

Card volume per team, ranked like standings. Bar = cards · green = hits.

NFL

AFC North387 hits · 687 cards · 634 #d
  1. 1
    Pittsburgh Steelers
    141h232
  2. 2
    Baltimore Ravens
    108h172
  3. 3
    Cincinnati Bengals
    86h158
  4. 4
    Cleveland Browns
    52h125
AFC East409 hits · 652 cards · 596 #d
  1. 1
    New York Jets
    190h262
  2. 2
    New England Patriots
    110h164
  3. 3
    Miami Dolphins
    77h133
  4. 4
    Buffalo Bills
    32h93
NFC West389 hits · 644 cards · 588 #d
  1. 1
    San Francisco 49ers
    140h221
  2. 2
    Los Angeles Rams
    101h164
  3. 3
    Seattle Seahawks
    74h130
  4. 4
    Arizona Cardinals
    74h129
NFC South343 hits · 552 cards · 505 #d
  1. 1
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    116h187
  2. 2
    Carolina Panthers
    95h152
  3. 3
    New Orleans Saints
    64h107
  4. 4
    Atlanta Falcons
    68h106
NFC North301 hits · 549 cards · 503 #d
  1. 1
    Minnesota Vikings
    135h223
  2. 2
    Chicago Bears
    84h146
  3. 3
    Detroit Lions
    53h102
  4. 4
    Green Bay Packers
    29h78
AFC South320 hits · 541 cards · 502 #d
  1. 1
    Jacksonville Jaguars
    142h204
  2. 2
    Houston Texans
    102h147
  3. 3
    Tennessee Titans
    48h109
  4. 4
    Indianapolis Colts
    28h81
AFC West224 hits · 469 cards · 428 #d
  1. 1
    Los Angeles Chargers
    77h151
  2. 2
    Denver Broncos
    80h147
  3. 3
    Kansas City Chiefs
    48h118
  4. 4
    Las Vegas Raiders
    19h53
NFC East231 hits · 423 cards · 385 #d
  1. 1
    Philadelphia Eagles
    104h173
  2. 2
    Dallas Cowboys
    54h131
  3. 3
    New York Giants
    73h119

Methodology

Card % / Hit % — share, not odds. Card % and Hit % are each team's share of the checklist — the cards printed in these sets — computed exactly from what's listed. They are not the probability of pulling any given card, which would require print runs Panini doesn't publish.

Implied value. "Value" here means checklist-defined scarcity, not market price — a card counts as a hit if it's serial-numbered, an autograph, or a memorabilia relic. Packaddx doesn't price cards, so these numbers describe what's printed, not what it's worth.

Multi-team cards. A card printed with more than one team (e.g. a dual-team insert) counts under every team it's printed for, so per-team totals can add up to more than the break's overall card count. Each physical card is still only counted once in the break's totals.

Team attribution. A card is attributed to whichever team is printed on it at the time of the set's release — not a player's current or most recent team.